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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind is it simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look a lot like 2008 and this they say is wrong. notice i said this time. back in 2004, democrats complained that the polls which showed george w. bush leading were overestimating the number of republicans who would vote. they were wrong. the polls were right. in 2000, al gore said don't believe the polls, polls showed him losing narrowly. polls were right. in fact, it's hard to find an example of the polls on average getting it wrong unless you go back to 1948, when they predicted thomas dewey defeated president harry truman. cnn political contributor ari fleischer joins us. he's an occasionally unpaid communications advisor for the romn
deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind is it simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look a lot like 2008 and this they say is wrong. notice i said this time. back in 2004, democrats...
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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. >> romney is a very good debater. he's practiced and practiced and practiced and practiced. >> the moderator and obama are going to come after him. >> romney is actually pretty good on his feet in debates. >> the big questions, can romney reset his campaign with a strong debate? or with early voting under way -- >> president obama. >> -- is it too late for a turnaround? >> four years from his last debate. >> you're wrong. >> will president obama be rusty? or, can he break the race wide open? we'll ask our headliners. new jersey governor chris christie and the president's senior adviser david plouffe. and our powerhouse roundtable. squaring off, former party chairs haley barbour and howard dean. plus, matthew dowd, donna brazile and maggie haberman of politico. >>> hello again. we're heading into the home stretch of this campaign. just 37 days before the final votes, with all eyes on this week's first debate. the candidates are hunkering down in debate camp. our guests are ready to weigh in on where the race stands. wh
. >> romney is a very good debater. he's practiced and practiced and practiced and practiced. >> the moderator and obama are going to come after him. >> romney is actually pretty good on his feet in debates. >> the big questions, can romney reset his campaign with a strong debate? or with early voting under way -- >> president obama. >> -- is it too late for a turnaround? >> four years from his last debate. >> you're wrong. >> will president...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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let me ask you something about the strategy of governor romney before he was governor romney, and that was something they called workdays where mitt romney decided to spend some time working as a blue collar worker like the rest of us. he was selling sausages at fenway park? he worked as a garbage man, and he was fixing cars too. but we haven't really seen that this time around. and yet that was a successful strategy back then. >> yeah. i mean they sort of recognize his wealth was sort of an issue and barrier with voters. one of the questions in the polls was asked which candidate cares for people like you and only 18% said mitt romney. and six weeks before the election. so it's a similar thing he's failed on a national level. people don't feel like he cares about people like them. they haven't done quite as much to mitigate that as they did in 2002. i mean the caveat, though, it was a state race, it was more controlled on a national scale, there's a lot more variables and it's harder to sort of make big swings in the polls. but, you know, the strategy was clearly different when he was
let me ask you something about the strategy of governor romney before he was governor romney, and that was something they called workdays where mitt romney decided to spend some time working as a blue collar worker like the rest of us. he was selling sausages at fenway park? he worked as a garbage man, and he was fixing cars too. but we haven't really seen that this time around. and yet that was a successful strategy back then. >> yeah. i mean they sort of recognize his wealth was sort of...
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foreign investments and mitt romney family trust return shows romney purchased shares in two giant russian companies around the invested in russian energy firm gazprom and russian internet firm and x. the largest search engine in the country the records show romney invested over a thousand shares in both countries tax records also show romney sold both shares at a loss last september right before the presidential election season kicked off but what's puzzling is that the presidential hopeful took interest and invested in a country he recently bashed. just to russia this is without question our number one geopolitical foe they fight every cause for the world's worst actors that's right drumming invested in a country he apparently views as america's number one enemy in fact romney's rhetoric on russia is consistently hawkish so if you want to run for the highest office in the united states and that virtually attack a foreign country you may want to keep your investments close to home and washington liz wall r.t. . business with. a market sentiment after all these vonage and you. yeah it's in
foreign investments and mitt romney family trust return shows romney purchased shares in two giant russian companies around the invested in russian energy firm gazprom and russian internet firm and x. the largest search engine in the country the records show romney invested over a thousand shares in both countries tax records also show romney sold both shares at a loss last september right before the presidential election season kicked off but what's puzzling is that the presidential hopeful...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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when we come back, his advice for mitt romney. i'm only in my 60's... i've got a nice long life ahead. big plans. so when i found out medicare doesn't pay all my medical expenses, i got a medicare supplement insurance plan. [ male announcer ] if you're eligible for medicare, you may know it only covers about 80% of your part b medical expenses. the rest is up to you. call and find out about an aarp medicare supplement insurance plan, insured by unitedhealthcare insurance company. like all standardized medicare supplement plans, it could save you thousands in out-of-pocket costs. call now to request your free decision guide. i've been with my doctor for 12 years. now i know i'll be able to stick with him. you'll be able to visit any doctor or hospital that accepts medicare patients. plus, there are no networks, and you never need a referral. see why millions of people have already enrolled in the only medicare supplement insurance plans endorsed by aarp. don't wait. call now. >>> the clinton global initiative has become a draw for leaders around the worl
when we come back, his advice for mitt romney. i'm only in my 60's... i've got a nice long life ahead. big plans. so when i found out medicare doesn't pay all my medical expenses, i got a medicare supplement insurance plan. [ male announcer ] if you're eligible for medicare, you may know it only covers about 80% of your part b medical expenses. the rest is up to you. call and find out about an aarp medicare supplement insurance plan, insured by unitedhealthcare insurance company. like all...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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FOXNEWSW
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romney has to do well, no doubt about it. the debate falls into the media of romney has to perform and if he he doesn't it is an excuse for another round of in my mind disgustingly biased pieces against mitt romney. i believe bill is exactly right when barack obama was challenged in the univision interview and he was challenged very hard. obama looked uncomfortable when he is really confronted with facts and simply worded questions. i think if mitt romney reminds people we have really 11.7% unemployment and not 8.1% that america's best days ca cannot e behind her, they have to be in front of her. i think having a moment of real leadership and maturity and contrasting that with the president who seems more comfort with ellen or the late night hosts than he is talking to the families of these insider attacks. i think romney has to be mature and forceful. yet the idea that it is all in the debate i think that is a little too convenient for the media. >> chris: juan talk about it but also is because we keep forgetting about obama
romney has to do well, no doubt about it. the debate falls into the media of romney has to perform and if he he doesn't it is an excuse for another round of in my mind disgustingly biased pieces against mitt romney. i believe bill is exactly right when barack obama was challenged in the univision interview and he was challenged very hard. obama looked uncomfortable when he is really confronted with facts and simply worded questions. i think if mitt romney reminds people we have really 11.7%...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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. >> reporter: mitt romney and president obama are no strangers to debates. combined participated in dozens of debates over the past two election cycles. a lot is at stake this wednesday in denver. >> i would put medicare and social security in a lock box. >> reporter: in 2000, algore held an 8 point lead over george bush before the first debate. right after his lead vanished, the two were tied at 43. this year, each side is making efforts to lower expectations. this memo obtained, is written by romney advisor, beth meyers, she talks glowingly about the president's debate record, siting where americans declared him the winner over john mccain each time. you make your opponent out to be unbeatable, regardless of what is said, you can declare a victory of sorts. >> how are the candidates getting ready for the weekend? >> reporter: there is going to be a lot of studying going this weekend, mitt romney is going back to boston, actually you might remember he has been getting ready with rob portman, playing the role of president obama and portman took on the task o
. >> reporter: mitt romney and president obama are no strangers to debates. combined participated in dozens of debates over the past two election cycles. a lot is at stake this wednesday in denver. >> i would put medicare and social security in a lock box. >> reporter: in 2000, algore held an 8 point lead over george bush before the first debate. right after his lead vanished, the two were tied at 43. this year, each side is making efforts to lower expectations. this memo...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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i think probably governor romney felt the same way in coming to cgi. i think both men being there, it's important to put foreign policy front and center at this point in the campaign. >> i thought it was good mitt romney went there, cracked a couple of good jokes, and you have to say, look at the overall position in this election, it seems extraordinary to me that the polls seem to be widening. when you have a country that's 8.2% unemployment, $16 trillion in debt, gas prices doubling, all of the huge sticks to beat the incumbent president with. and you look at it, mitt romney has to win, the lead stretched to an eight-point lead. why is this happening? why is mitt romney not able to persuade the public, despite the devastating statistics against barack obama's tenure? he's apparently rolling away to victory in places like ohio? >> is that for me, piers? >> yes, richard. >> thank you. rst there, are ebbs and flows. jimmy carter was far ahead in his election against ronald reagan, where he was beaten decessively. i think polls would show them statistica
i think probably governor romney felt the same way in coming to cgi. i think both men being there, it's important to put foreign policy front and center at this point in the campaign. >> i thought it was good mitt romney went there, cracked a couple of good jokes, and you have to say, look at the overall position in this election, it seems extraordinary to me that the polls seem to be widening. when you have a country that's 8.2% unemployment, $16 trillion in debt, gas prices doubling,...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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how should romney deal with the spin? >> romney has to go out and be aggressive. i think he should do more shows. i don't see him enough. he should be doing your show, the "today show" and good morning america. he is probably down a little bit on the polls because i don't think they have the right people. i don't think they have the stars and the democrats gave a better convention. >> why wasn't sarah palin there for example? >> she is respected by a number of people. >> isn't it fear they don't want to offend anybody and they are crafting this image of the gentler republican party. >> i don't know what it shows. i know that'ses should have been there. >> i was supposed to be there and i got rained out the first question is why are you there? whether people like me or don't like me i speak the truth. i am the first one that brought up china. nobody was bringing up nobody was talking about it. i was thinking jobs, jobs how can you have jobs. he mentioned china. he is listening to me finally. >> we have to take a break. i hate to interrupt you. by the way this is a
how should romney deal with the spin? >> romney has to go out and be aggressive. i think he should do more shows. i don't see him enough. he should be doing your show, the "today show" and good morning america. he is probably down a little bit on the polls because i don't think they have the right people. i don't think they have the stars and the democrats gave a better convention. >> why wasn't sarah palin there for example? >> she is respected by a number of...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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for mitt romney it will be his first. i suppose the question is it is games man ship on most accounts but does it work? >> they're trying to lower expectations. they're trying to make the other side seem fabulous, great debaters if you will. i think everybody is onto what they're saying in advance of the debates. yi thinthey're boso debaters, the prident of the united states, i moderate rated four debates fo yrs ago when he didates and didn't have to do any this cycle because no one was challenging him forhe democratic presidential nomination. i did moderate four last time including that final one-on-on debate that he did with hillary clinton at the kodak theater in los angeles and he is very good and hillary clinton i thought was a better debater and ironically joe biden and chris dodd did really well and the president obviously got the democratic nomination. he is a very solid debater. i moderate rated four republican presidential debates with mitt romney and i have the same feeling about him. very solid. knows his stu
for mitt romney it will be his first. i suppose the question is it is games man ship on most accounts but does it work? >> they're trying to lower expectations. they're trying to make the other side seem fabulous, great debaters if you will. i think everybody is onto what they're saying in advance of the debates. yi thinthey're boso debaters, the prident of the united states, i moderate rated four debates fo yrs ago when he didates and didn't have to do any this cycle because no one was...
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Oct 2, 2012
10/12
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romney. >> mr. romney -- >> i'm sorry. was it my turn to respond. >> i was going to end it there. >> my suggestion about my comments in utah. let me complete it and you can ask me. >> do you have a problem with allowing someone to finish speaking and i suggest if you want to become president of the united states, you have to let both people speak. >> romney's worst moment was this one. it was a year ago with rick perry. >> rick, again, i'm speaking. i'm speaking. i'm speaking. you get 30 seconds. this is the way the rules work here is i get 60 seconds and you get 30 seconds to respond. >> obama has done his best to test him on this. both men have been tripped up by looking patronizing to women. aggressive attacks made her less likely to romney and helped turn the race in his favor. the last week of their fight centered on whether romney had taken a sexist tone when accused of accepting an anti-abortion group's endorsement. >> i did not in any way acknowledge their endorsement. >> you accepted it. >> in what way did i accep
romney. >> mr. romney -- >> i'm sorry. was it my turn to respond. >> i was going to end it there. >> my suggestion about my comments in utah. let me complete it and you can ask me. >> do you have a problem with allowing someone to finish speaking and i suggest if you want to become president of the united states, you have to let both people speak. >> romney's worst moment was this one. it was a year ago with rick perry. >> rick, again, i'm speaking. i'm...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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CNN
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both romney and mitt romney speaking at fundraisers today. romney held one earlier in philadelphia. the president has one later in washington. at a campaign rally last hour at a military acted any many pennsylvania romney hammered away at the president over the economy. >> i have to tell you that i don't know how a single person who goes to this institution could consider voting for the incumbent for president. i say that for this reason. if they want to go in the military, why, he is planning on cutting our military by about $1 trillion over the next decade. if they want to go on to either get a job directly or go on to a four-year college and come out with a gee, you know that 50% of kids coming out of college today can't find a job or a college level job. on both fronts, this president's policies have not worked for the young people of america. >> their first debate happens on wednesday. the romney team is downplaying expectations. romney advisor beth myers distributes this memo explaining why the president is probably going to do better. she says that president obama is one of t
both romney and mitt romney speaking at fundraisers today. romney held one earlier in philadelphia. the president has one later in washington. at a campaign rally last hour at a military acted any many pennsylvania romney hammered away at the president over the economy. >> i have to tell you that i don't know how a single person who goes to this institution could consider voting for the incumbent for president. i say that for this reason. if they want to go in the military, why, he is...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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CNN
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romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. when a flood of chinese tires threatened a thousand american jobs... it was president obama who stood up to china and protected american workers. mitt romney attacked obama's decision... said standing up to china was "bad for the nation and our workers." how can mitt romney take on the cheaters... when he's taking their side? syou know, i've helped a lot off people save a lot of money. but today...( sfx: loud noise of large metal object hitting the ground) things have been a little strange. (sfx: sound of piano smashing) roadrunner: meep meep. meep meep? (sfx: loud thud sound) what a strange place. geico®. fifteen minutes could save you fifteen percent or more on car insurance. i i had pain in my abdomen...g. it just wouldn't go away. i was spotting, but i had already gone through menopause. these symptoms may be nothing... but they could be early warning signs of a gynecologic cancer, such as cervical, ovarian, or uterine cancer. feeling bloated for no reason. that's what i remember
romney: "it's time to stand up to the cheaters" vo: tough on china? not mitt romney. when a flood of chinese tires threatened a thousand american jobs... it was president obama who stood up to china and protected american workers. mitt romney attacked obama's decision... said standing up to china was "bad for the nation and our workers." how can mitt romney take on the cheaters... when he's taking their side? syou know, i've helped a lot off people save a lot of money. but...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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romney is reacting to that. he's said clearly i'm not going to increase the tax burden of the middle class. i think the problem is that he hasn't given any details that allow us to see a plan that does add up. as he said yesterday, he's not promising a tax cut, he's promising tax reform. the question that people have, the reason reasonable question, let's see details. >> what does mitt romney, what does the republican party define as middle class? if you look at martin feldstein's analysis, a romney guy you have to raise taxes on people making between $100,000 and $200,000 a year which is in certain cities decidedly middle class the definition of middle class is bipartisan issue. president obama defines it anyone making up to $200,000. if you're making 100,000, 150,000, 200,000 you're in the top few percentage points of this country. even in expensive places people making $150,000 have a pretty tenuous claim on being middle class when you look at the numbers. >> thank you to david leonhardt of "the new york time
romney is reacting to that. he's said clearly i'm not going to increase the tax burden of the middle class. i think the problem is that he hasn't given any details that allow us to see a plan that does add up. as he said yesterday, he's not promising a tax cut, he's promising tax reform. the question that people have, the reason reasonable question, let's see details. >> what does mitt romney, what does the republican party define as middle class? if you look at martin feldstein's...
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have two men that are running against one another that have no military experience whatsoever mitt romney is a businessman barack obama he's definitely got a bunch of experience as far as working with in congress goes but not necessarily with militaries we were still in afghanistan and pakistan plus were engaged in targeted strikes elsewhere so from a foreign policy standpoint is there or is this a recipe for disaster with these two candidates. there's a bill clinton the. milk express for example. for the. boost in the but the fact is you know i have two men will hopefully will make someone's choices and the choices mean the military choices will be able we can find a way out the crisis in there. and then pakistan is going to take strong diplomacy and really multilateral cooperation because not alone him in the ways we went alone in there we it was the the kobo of coalition moving in that basically bush and blair a little and they rolled and then we paid a big price that was learned from their wrong lesson we went into libya in the name of trying to. stop the spread of terrorism and that
have two men that are running against one another that have no military experience whatsoever mitt romney is a businessman barack obama he's definitely got a bunch of experience as far as working with in congress goes but not necessarily with militaries we were still in afghanistan and pakistan plus were engaged in targeted strikes elsewhere so from a foreign policy standpoint is there or is this a recipe for disaster with these two candidates. there's a bill clinton the. milk express for...
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Sep 28, 2012
09/12
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he is putting words in romney's mouth. he is taking it out of context. >> never talked about them being victims. here is what mitt romney actually s >>qu there are 47% who are with him dependant upon government who believe that they are victims. today, it was described this way byorr democratic governor of ohio at the democratic national convention. >> mitt romney has so little economic patriotism that even this money needs a passport. ecayman islands and winters on the cloeps slopes of the swi. barack obama is an economic patriot. mitt romney is an out sourcing pioneer. here is pdeba ecomic patriotism today. >> during the campaign season you hear a lot about patriotism. you know what? it is time for a new economi i the belief that growing our economy begins with a growing middle class. likely voters in new hampshire where mitt romney owns a home. esident obama leads mitt romny sen points. unlikely voters in north carolina president obama pol at 48% and mitt romney at 46%. ki a as for the rest of mba the campaign that do n
he is putting words in romney's mouth. he is taking it out of context. >> never talked about them being victims. here is what mitt romney actually s >>qu there are 47% who are with him dependant upon government who believe that they are victims. today, it was described this way byorr democratic governor of ohio at the democratic national convention. >> mitt romney has so little economic patriotism that even this money needs a passport. ecayman islands and winters on the cloeps...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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a hail mary pass from mitt romney. pastor jeffers says evangelical voters hold the key to romney's victory. he's the pastor of the first baptist church in dallas. he now supports mitt romney and is here tonight. okay, so let's start with this. what is the secret that's going to turn it around for mitt romney? >> insanity's doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. up to this point, the strategy has been to just talk about the economy. don't get off on the social issues. this isn't working out well. the economy, because the economy's improving with the housing prices yesterday, consumer sentiment up yesterday and also, it fails to recognize that many of republican base, many of them, are social conservatives who care about the economy, but we also care about the moral and spiritual deterioration of our country and i believe that romney needs to speak out and show the distinction between the democrat form, which is embrace gay marriage, doubled down on abortion, which waffled about on whet
a hail mary pass from mitt romney. pastor jeffers says evangelical voters hold the key to romney's victory. he's the pastor of the first baptist church in dallas. he now supports mitt romney and is here tonight. okay, so let's start with this. what is the secret that's going to turn it around for mitt romney? >> insanity's doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. up to this point, the strategy has been to just talk about the economy. don't get off on the...
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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WBFF
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mitt romney's been running for president two years, and five weeks before the election, mitt romney's -- they decide, time, they'll do a story on the mormon identity. not about tax reform, not the economy, not about foreign policy, the mormon identity. and, i want to also point out, i think -- i was struck by it this week, this is wednesday's "washington post." might have wife points it out to me. the story in the top is, obama issues a challenge. fair enough, the president spoke to the u.n. and that is a big news story and the lead story: ohio, florida, give obama an edge. here's the sidebar story, for obama the buckeye state, ma a bull's-eye. my wife turned to me and said, well, i guess the race is over according to the "washington post," am i overreacting and more importantly, is my wife overreacting to this. >> reportingness of polls, there has been a lot of discussion in particular about the polling and whether the polling is oversampling democrats and all of that. and, you know, to some extent, political reporters report on polls and that drives the their t.v. i would say that t
mitt romney's been running for president two years, and five weeks before the election, mitt romney's -- they decide, time, they'll do a story on the mormon identity. not about tax reform, not the economy, not about foreign policy, the mormon identity. and, i want to also point out, i think -- i was struck by it this week, this is wednesday's "washington post." might have wife points it out to me. the story in the top is, obama issues a challenge. fair enough, the president spoke to...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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CNN
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ohio without a doubt a must-win state for governor romney. here's the new "the washington post" poll. you see the numbers right here. the president above 50, six-point lead in the state of ohio. that's one poll. but if you put together what we call a poll of polls, looking at now a half dozen polls conducted over the past two weeks, look what you get. a six-point lead for the president of the united states and again, a must-win state for mitt romney. that is the state of ohio. another must-win, i can give you a mathematical scenario for romney to win without florida but it's very difficult. so what about florida? two new polls out today, one is an arg poll shows the president with a five-point lead. here's the "washington post" poll you just mentioned, shows the president with a four-point lead. again, what we like to do when you have a lot of polls is add them all up and average them out. this is more than a half dozen polls conducted over the last two weeks. what do you get? a four-point lead for the president in the state of florida when y
ohio without a doubt a must-win state for governor romney. here's the new "the washington post" poll. you see the numbers right here. the president above 50, six-point lead in the state of ohio. that's one poll. but if you put together what we call a poll of polls, looking at now a half dozen polls conducted over the past two weeks, look what you get. a six-point lead for the president of the united states and again, a must-win state for mitt romney. that is the state of ohio. another...
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Sep 24, 2012
09/12
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FOXNEWSW
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romney is not for the middle class. >> mitt romney is the candidate of the one percent. >> barack obama has been the leader of the occupy wall street movement. he's using the very same rhetoric that those fanatics that were protesting in front of wall street were using. it's the top 1 percent verses the 99 percent. if only the one percent didn't have all of the money then all of us would be doing better. >> what would happen to romney. >> the occupy guys have it all wrong. they were in about class warfare and envy and taking from others. the american dream isn't you are entitle to do your neighbor's property the american dream is if you can work hard your children can do even better than you have done. every generation wants that for our children. >> with the days ticking away toward the election the important question is is it working? there is evidence that it is not. the democratic think tank third way polled independent voters in battle ground states and found they don't buy the tax fairness argument. >> they don't see themselves as victims in the system. 60 percent of them say our
romney is not for the middle class. >> mitt romney is the candidate of the one percent. >> barack obama has been the leader of the occupy wall street movement. he's using the very same rhetoric that those fanatics that were protesting in front of wall street were using. it's the top 1 percent verses the 99 percent. if only the one percent didn't have all of the money then all of us would be doing better. >> what would happen to romney. >> the occupy guys have it all...